Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.