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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Dortmund logo

Augsburg
1 - 1
Dortmund

Demirovic (23')
Gouweleeuw (79'), Gumny (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malen (35')
Haller (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

A closely-fought contest between two teams eager to bounce back from defeats last weekend is set to take place on Saturday, but Dortmund will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top. Augsburg have favoured playing in front of their own fans so far this season, but Dortmund have enjoyed their recent meetings with Die Fuggerstadter and should ultimately have enough firepower to outscore their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (5.23%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.11% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45) 22.13% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 42.75% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 68.34% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.2% (-0.307 -0.31)31.8% (0.31 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.67% (-0.361 -0.36)53.33% (0.364 0.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (-0.348 -0.35)18.93% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (-0.585 -0.59)50.44% (0.588 0.59)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.030000000000001 0.03)15.71% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (0.055 0.05)44.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 35.11%
    Borussia Dortmund 42.75%
    Draw 22.13%
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.95% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.11%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 7.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.97% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.42% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.065 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.23% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.03 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 42.75%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Dortmund

Augsburg
14.6%
Draw
14.6%
Borussia Dortmund
70.7%
41
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Augsburg
0-3
Dortmund

Beljo (42'), Gouweleeuw (69'), Demirovic (73')
Uduokhai (38')
Haller (58', 84'), Brandt (90+3')
Can (47'), Adeyemi (69'), Wolf (73')
Jan 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
4-3
Augsburg
Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
2-1
Augsburg
Guerreiro (10' pen.), Brandt (51')
Reus (44')
Zeqiri (35')
Gruezo (13'), Oxford (15'), Zeqiri (53')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dortmund
3-1
Augsburg
Delaney (26'), Sancho (63'), Uduokhai (75' og.)
Hahn (10')
Iago (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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