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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Dortmund
5 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Malen (5'), Bellingham (18' pen.), Haller (20', 32'), Reyna (90+4')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Bensebaini (75' pen.), Stindl (85')
Bensebaini (77'), Kramer (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 4-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

When you couple Dortmund's strong home form with Gladbach's woeful record on the road, all the signs point towards another convincing BVB win at Signal Iduna Park. Given that Terzic's men have been firing in goals for fun on home soil, we can see Dortmund notching a high-scoring victory at the expense of the Foals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 78.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 8.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
78.22% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 12.86% (0.022 0.02) 8.91% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.9% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.79% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.2% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.13% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)43.87% (0.108 0.11)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)4.94% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.18% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)19.81% (0.064 0.06)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)38.04% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)74.8% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 78.22%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 8.91%
    Draw 12.86%
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
3-0 @ 8.52% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 8.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.66% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
6-2 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 78.22%
1-1 @ 5.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.97%
0-0 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 12.86%
1-2 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
0-1 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 8.91%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Borussia M'bach

Borussia Dortmund
79.5%
Draw
9.1%
Borussia Monchengladbach
11.4%
44
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 15
Borussia M'bach
4-2
Dortmund
Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
Stindl (9')
Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')
Feb 20, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 23
Dortmund
6-0
Borussia M'bach
Reus (26', 82'), Malen (32'), Wolf (70'), Moukoko (74'), Can (90+1' pen.)
Zagadou (12'), Dahoud (35')

Bensebaini (14')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 6
Borussia M'bach
1-0
Dortmund
Zakaria (37')
Zakaria (13'), Stindl (33'), Netz (45+2'), Kone (59')

Dahoud (10'), Pongracic (35'), Bellingham (85')
Dahoud (40')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Borussia M'bach
0-1
Dortmund

Stindl (32'), Bensebaini (90+2')
Sancho (66')
Dahoud (29'), Reus (50'), Hitz (90+5')
Dahoud (90+2')
Jan 22, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 18
Borussia M'bach
4-2
Dortmund
Elvedi (11', 32'), Bensebaini (49'), Thuram (78')
Kramer (89')
Braut Haaland (22', 28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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