MX23RW : Monday, January 13 07:55:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Dortmund logo

Augsburg
0 - 3
Dortmund


Beljo (42'), Gouweleeuw (69'), Demirovic (73')
Uduokhai (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Haller (58', 84'), Brandt (90+3')
Can (47'), Adeyemi (69'), Wolf (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Augsburg
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last Game: Dortmund 5-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

 Both teams' outlook on this fixture will be hugely affected by results elsewhere across Friday and Saturday, with Augsburg set to discover whether they may require any more points in order to survive. Dortmund, meanwhile, will know whether they can return to the top of the table by beating Augsburg after watching Bayern take on Leipzig less than 24 hours prior, but either way we expect them to have too much quality for their hampered opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
19.46% (-0.16 -0.16) 20.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 60.07% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 59.4% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (-0.37 -0.37)37.13% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.67% (-0.401 -0.4)59.33% (0.405 0.41)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.378 -0.38)32.46% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01% (-0.428 -0.43)68.99% (0.432 0.43)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)12.05% (0.077 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.45% (-0.162 -0.16)37.55% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 19.46%
    Borussia Dortmund 60.07%
    Draw 20.47%
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.4% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 19.46%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.76% (0.106 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 6.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.18% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 60.07%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Dortmund

Augsburg
13.7%
Draw
11.8%
Borussia Dortmund
74.5%
51
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Dortmund
4-3
Augsburg
Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Bellingham (84')
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
Pedersen (45'), Cardona (54'), Jensen (69'), Engels (90+2')
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 24
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 7
Dortmund
2-1
Augsburg
Guerreiro (10' pen.), Brandt (51')
Reus (44')
Zeqiri (35')
Gruezo (13'), Oxford (15'), Zeqiri (53')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 19
Dortmund
3-1
Augsburg
Delaney (26'), Sancho (63'), Uduokhai (75' og.)
Hahn (10')
Iago (20')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 2
Augsburg
2-0
Dortmund
Uduokhai (40'), Caligiuri (54')
Gregoritsch (29'), Khedira (30'), Gouweleeuw (31')

Braut Haaland (30'), Meunier (38'), Witsel (71'), Can (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246
> Bundesliga Full Table


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