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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Stuttgart

Augsburg
0 - 1
Stuttgart


Demirovic (63'), Mbabu (76'), Iago (82'), Gouweleeuw (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guirassy (48')
Anton (42'), Woo-yeong (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Augsburg
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Stuttgart

 Both teams still have something to play for heading into their final two Bundesliga fixtures, although there is more riding on this contest for Augsburg as they look to boost their hopes of a top-seven finish. However, we expect high-flying Stuttgart to take advantage of the hosts' poor form and follow up their impressive win over Bayern Munich with another victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawStuttgart
32.18% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 22.91% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 44.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 64.23% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.28% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)36.72% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.12% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)58.88% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)22.76% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.55% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)56.45% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)16.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.16% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)46.84% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 32.18%
    Stuttgart 44.91%
    Draw 22.91%
AugsburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 32.18%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.83% (0.015 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 44.91%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Stuttgart

Augsburg
19.3%
Draw
13.4%
Stuttgart
67.2%
119
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
3-0
Augsburg
Undav (18'), Guirassy (45+1'), Fuhrich (69')

Demirovic (11'), Gumny (62'), Pedersen (71'), Dorsch (81')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
Augsburg
1-1
Stuttgart
Beljo (8')
Endo (78')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Stuttgart
2-1
Augsburg
Guirassy (15'), Anton (90+1')
Niederlechner (4')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Stuttgart
3-2
Augsburg
Anton (44'), Marmoush (79'), Tomas (85')
Tomas (80'), Fuhrich (90+2')
Hahn (6'), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Pedersen (78'), Uduokhai (79'), Winther (81')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Augsburg
4-1
Stuttgart
Oxford (30'), Gouweleeuw (53'), Niederlechner (72'), Finnbogason (81')
Gouweleeuw (21'), Caligiuri (32'), Gruezo (90+3')
Fuhrich (7')
Didavi (39'), Coulibaly (59'), Al Ghaddioui (77'), Forster (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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