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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Stuttgart

Augsburg
0 - 1
Stuttgart


Demirovic (63'), Mbabu (76'), Iago (82'), Gouweleeuw (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guirassy (48')
Anton (42'), Woo-yeong (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Augsburg
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Stuttgart

Both teams still have something to play for heading into their final two Bundesliga fixtures, although there is more riding on this contest for Augsburg as they look to boost their hopes of a top-seven finish. However, we expect high-flying Stuttgart to take advantage of the hosts' poor form and follow up their impressive win over Bayern Munich with another victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawStuttgart
32.18% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 22.91% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 44.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 64.23% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.28% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)36.72% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.12% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)58.88% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)22.76% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.55% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)56.45% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)16.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.16% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)46.84% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 32.18%
    Stuttgart 44.91%
    Draw 22.91%
AugsburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 32.18%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.83% (0.015 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 44.91%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Stuttgart

Augsburg
19.3%
Draw
13.4%
Stuttgart
67.2%
119
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
3-0
Augsburg
Undav (18'), Guirassy (45+1'), Fuhrich (69')

Demirovic (11'), Gumny (62'), Pedersen (71'), Dorsch (81')
Apr 21, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
Augsburg
1-1
Stuttgart
Beljo (8')
Endo (78')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Stuttgart
2-1
Augsburg
Guirassy (15'), Anton (90+1')
Mar 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Stuttgart
3-2
Augsburg
Anton (44'), Marmoush (79'), Tomas (85')
Tomas (80'), Fuhrich (90+2')
Hahn (6'), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Pedersen (78'), Uduokhai (79'), Winther (81')
Oct 31, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Augsburg
4-1
Stuttgart
Oxford (30'), Gouweleeuw (53'), Niederlechner (72'), Finnbogason (81')
Gouweleeuw (21'), Caligiuri (32'), Gruezo (90+3')
Fuhrich (7')
Didavi (39'), Coulibaly (59'), Al Ghaddioui (77'), Forster (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg147342019124
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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