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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
32.18% ( 0.01) | 22.91% ( 0.02) | 44.91% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.28% ( -0.08) | 36.72% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.12% ( -0.09) | 58.88% ( 0.09) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% ( -0.04) | 22.76% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.55% ( -0.05) | 56.45% ( 0.05) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.16% ( -0.04) | 16.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.16% ( -0.07) | 46.84% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 4.33% Total : 44.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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