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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.73%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
42.77% ( -1.15) | 22.32% ( -0.21) | 34.91% ( 1.36) |
Both teams to score 67.54% ( 1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.19% ( 1.49) | 32.81% ( -1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.5% ( 1.7) | 54.5% ( -1.7) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.89% ( 0.16) | 16.11% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.48% ( 0.28) | 45.51% ( -0.28) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.51% ( 1.38) | 19.49% ( -1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.64% ( 2.2) | 51.36% ( -2.21) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.76% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.15) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |