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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Stuttgart

Dortmund
0 - 1
Stuttgart


Brandt (45+1'), Adeyemi (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guirassy (64')
Stiller (9'), Millot (26'), Karazor (71'), Nubel (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 31 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Stuttgart

Dortmund will be keen for revenge against a Stuttgart side that has already beaten them twice this season, and they look set to extend their winning run to six ahead of the trip to Madrid in midweek. Both teams have scored in 24 of the last 33 meetings, and the previous 22 encounters have produced a whopping 90 goals, so a thrilling encounter is likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.73%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
42.77% (-1.152 -1.15) 22.32% (-0.21 -0.21) 34.91% (1.361 1.36)
Both teams to score 67.54% (1.277 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.19% (1.487 1.49)32.81% (-1.489 -1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.5% (1.696 1.7)54.5% (-1.697 -1.7)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (0.155 0.16)16.11% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.48% (0.282 0.28)45.51% (-0.283 -0.28)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (1.375 1.38)19.49% (-1.376 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.64% (2.203 2.2)51.36% (-2.205 -2.21)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 42.77%
    Stuttgart 34.91%
    Draw 22.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.431 -0.43)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.365 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-2 @ 7% (0.125 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-3 @ 2.32% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.097 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.13% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.225 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.224 0.22)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.16 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.153 0.15)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.098 0.1)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.91%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund
70.9%
Draw
16.6%
Stuttgart
12.6%
151
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Stuttgart
2-0
Dortmund
Guirassy (54'), Wamangituka (77')
Anton (64'), Karazor (90+2')

Bensebaini (67')
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Stuttgart
2-1
Dortmund
Undav (42'), Guirassy (83' pen.)
Undav (15'), Karazor (59')
Fullkrug (36')
Kobel (10'), Adeyemi (15'), Sabitzer (49')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-3
Dortmund
Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Dortmund
5-0
Stuttgart
Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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