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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
BayArena
Stuttgart

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Stuttgart

Adli (61'), Andrich (90+6')
Palacios (31'), Alonso (32'), Odilon (41'), Andrich (58'), Alonso (70'), Hincapie (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fuhrich (47'), Undav (56')
Undav (41'), Millot (69'), Mittelstadt (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Stuttgart
Sunday, April 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Stuttgart

Matches between these two sides have been very tightly contested in recent times, and we are expecting the same here, with both searching for victory, albeit for different reasons. However, Leverkusen have been a cut above the rest this term, particularly at home, and we feel they will come out on top in this clash of the heavyweights. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
70.36% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44) 16.57% (0.197 0.2) 13.07% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 58.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.05% (-0.363 -0.36)30.95% (0.358 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.67% (-0.432 -0.43)52.32% (0.427 0.43)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.14% (-0.184 -0.18)7.86% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.15% (-0.459 -0.46)27.85% (0.456 0.46)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.9% (0.103 0.1)36.1% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.12% (0.107 0.11)72.88% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 70.36%
    Stuttgart 13.07%
    Draw 16.57%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.78% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 5.04% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.52% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.31% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 70.36%
1-1 @ 7.35% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.84% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 16.57%
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.063 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.89% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.47% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 13.07%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Stuttgart

Bayer Leverkusen
78.8%
Draw
11.3%
Stuttgart
10.0%
80
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
B. Leverkusen
3-2
Stuttgart
Andrich (50'), Adli (66'), Tah (90')
Andrich (18'), Frimpong (34')
Anton (11'), Fuhrich (58')
Mittelstadt (26')
Dec 10, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Stuttgart
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Fuhrich (40')
Karazor (65')
Wirtz (47')
Odilon (6')
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Guirassy (57' pen.)
Palacios (70' pen.)
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Stuttgart
Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
B. Leverkusen
4-2
Stuttgart
Diaby (41'), Adli (52'), Wirtz (86'), Schick (90')
Demirbay (45'), Andrich (63'), Bakker (83')
Tomas (49', 88')
Endo (51'), Mavropanos (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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