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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
57.35% ( -0.07) | 21.94% ( 0.02) | 20.71% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.31% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.83% ( -0) | 42.16% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.43% ( -0) | 64.57% ( 0) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.52% ( -0.02) | 14.48% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.54% ( -0.05) | 42.46% ( 0.05) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.85% ( 0.05) | 34.15% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.16% ( 0.06) | 70.84% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 20.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
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