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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
Koln logo

B. Leverkusen
1 - 2
FC Koln

Adli (28')
Adli (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Selke (14', 36')
Thielmann (45'), Olesen (69'), Selke (71'), Chabot (80'), Maina (80'), Schmitz (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 FC Koln

This has the potential to be a tricky match for Leverkusen, but it is difficult to back against the home side here. A win for the Black and Reds would move them to within five points of the top four, and we are expecting them to secure a vital win in Friday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFC Koln
54.7% (0.13 0.13) 22.6% (0.492 0.49) 22.71% (-0.628 -0.63)
Both teams to score 56.98% (-2.545 -2.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-2.988 -2.99)42.63% (2.979 2.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-3.039 -3.04)65.03% (3.033 3.03)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (-0.995 -1)15.51% (0.988 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (-1.882 -1.88)44.41% (1.874 1.87)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (-2.195 -2.2)32.55% (2.188 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91% (-2.538 -2.54)69.09% (2.53 2.53)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 54.7%
    FC Koln 22.71%
    Draw 22.59%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.901 0.9)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.561 0.56)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.211 -0.21)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.7%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.639 0.64)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.411 0.41)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 22.71%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs FC Koln

Bayer Leverkusen
84.6%
Draw
12.2%
FC Koln
3.3%
123
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 14
FC Koln
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Schmitz (30')
Thielmann (84')
Amiri (65'), Diaby (71')
Mar 13, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 26
B. Leverkusen
0-1
FC Koln

Palacios (45+1'), Demirbay (90+2')
Schindler (67')
Skhiri (52'), Schmitz (65')
Oct 24, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 9
FC Koln
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Modeste (63', 82')
Uth (36')
Schick (15'), Bellarabi (17')
Demirbay (43'), Diaby (65'), Andrich (89')
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 29
B. Leverkusen
3-0
FC Koln
Bailey (5', 76'), Diaby (51')
Tapsoba (40')

Czichos (90')
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 12
FC Koln
0-4
B. Leverkusen

Horn (34')
Weiser (8'), Diaby (10'), Schick (54'), Wirtz (59')
Dragovic (54')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
5RB Leipzig158342420427
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
8Werder Bremen157442625125
9Wolfsburg167363328524
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
11Stuttgart156542925423
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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