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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
54.7% ( 0.13) | 22.6% ( 0.49) | 22.71% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 56.98% ( -2.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.37% ( -2.99) | 42.63% ( 2.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.97% ( -3.04) | 65.03% ( 3.03) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( -1) | 15.51% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.59% ( -1.88) | 44.41% ( 1.87) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( -2.2) | 32.55% ( 2.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.91% ( -2.54) | 69.09% ( 2.53) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.9) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.64) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |