MX23RW : Friday, January 31 06:53:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Leverkusen logo

Union Berlin
0 - 0
B. Leverkusen


Leite (64')
FT

Odilon (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Union Berlin (11) and Leverkusen (15) have conceded the fewest Bundesliga goals since the turn of the year, but considering this fixture has seen both teams score in five of the last seven meetings, an entertaining contest could be on the cards on Saturday. The Irons Ones boast a strong unbeaten home record this season, but Die Werkself have gone from strength to strength in recent months and we believe that they can follow up their five-goal victory in the reverse fixture with another triumph in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
36.87% (-0.434 -0.43) 26.28% (0.096 0.1) 36.86% (0.343 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.319 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (-0.409 -0.41)51.36% (0.415 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (-0.355 -0.36)73.18% (0.361 0.36)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.44 -0.44)26.99% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.582 -0.58)62.34% (0.588 0.59)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)62.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 36.87%
    Bayer Leverkusen 36.86%
    Draw 26.27%
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.157 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.86%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs B. Leverkusen

Union Berlin
14.3%
Draw
25.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
60.3%
63
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
5-0
Union Berlin
Andrich (46'), Diaby (56', 58'), Hlozek (68'), Bakker (76')
Amiri (19')
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Union Berlin
Schick (38'), Tah (84')
Tah (59')
Promel (45', 50')
Trimmel (31'), Friedrich (85')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 33
B. Leverkusen
1-1
Union Berlin
Wirtz (27')
Amiri (6'), Tapsoba (17')
Pohjanpalo (72')
Ingvartsen (40'), Andrich (55')
Jan 15, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 16
Union Berlin
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Teuchert (88')
Friedrich (52')

Tah (43'), Amiri (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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