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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
5 - 0
Freiburg

Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gregoritsch (50'), Sildillia (51'), Streich (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Plzen 2-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Nantes 0-4 Freiburg
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Freiburg

 While Bayern's potential injury issues give Freiburg an even greater chance of claiming a result, we expect the Bavarians to leapfrog their opponents in the table by claiming an important victory. Streich's side have had a relatively kind fixture list so far and may find themselves outclassed by their opponents at times, especially after Nagelsmann's side were able to take their foot off the gas away to Plzen on Wednesday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 9.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
74.42% (0.208 0.21) 16.33% (-0.122 -0.12) 9.25% (-0.089 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.4% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (0.27800000000001 0.28)41.23% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (0.283 0.28)63.63% (-0.287 -0.29)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.48% (0.11999999999999 0.12)9.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.1% (0.285 0.28)31.9% (-0.289 -0.29)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.17% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)49.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)84.54%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.4%
    Freiburg 9.25%
    Draw 16.34%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 13.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 10.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 6.05% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.85% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 74.4%
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 16.34%
0-1 @ 3.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.25%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
74.3%
Draw
11.9%
Freiburg
13.8%
109
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')
Haberer (90+3')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Lewandowski (7'), Muller (74')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (90')
Petersen (62')
Hofler (9'), Sallai (46')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Bayern
3-1
Freiburg
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246
> Bundesliga Full Table


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