Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
61.18% | 19.51% | 19.3% |
Both teams to score 62.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.3% | 32.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.62% | 54.37% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.58% | 10.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.03% | 33.96% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% | 29.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% | 66.08% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 7.26% 1-0 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 4.37% 4-1 @ 4.11% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-2 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-2 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.37% Total : 61.18% | 1-1 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.12% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-1 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-2 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |