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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Dortmund logo

Union Berlin
0 - 3
Dortmund


Baumgartl (35'), Mohwald (76'), Knoche (90+2'), Schafer (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Reus (18', 25'), Guerreiro (71')
Brandt (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Union Berlin 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

With Union's incredible home record being coupled with Dortmund's dampened spirits following last weekend's heavy defeat, we believe the hosts will come out with at least a point from this game. They too will be hurt following a setback, so we are predicting a share of the points in a high-scoring encounter thanks to the return of Haaland and the visitors' defensive woes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
28.32%23.51%48.17%
Both teams to score 59.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27%41.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.86%64.14%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32%27.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77%63.23%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48%17.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.95%48.05%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 28.32%
    Borussia Dortmund 48.17%
    Draw 23.51%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.97%
1-0 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 4%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.32%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-1 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 5.49%
0-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 3.52%
1-4 @ 2.39%
0-4 @ 1.86%
2-4 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 48.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Dortmund

Union Berlin
24.2%
Draw
19.8%
Borussia Dortmund
56.0%
91
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
4-2
Union Berlin
Guerreiro (10'), Braut Haaland (24', 83'), Friedrich (52' og.)
Hummels (50'), Witsel (57')
Kruse (57' pen.), Voglsammer (81')
Friedrich (15'), Giesselmann (50'), Ryerson (90+1')
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Dortmund
2-0
Union Berlin
Reus (27'), Guerreiro (88')
Bellingham (70'), Hummels (72')

Knoche (48')
Dec 18, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Union Berlin
2-1
Dortmund
Awoniyi (57'), Friedrich (78')
Bulter (62')
Moukoko (60')
Witsel (67')
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Dortmund
5-0
Union Berlin
Sancho (13'), Braut Haaland (18', 76'), Reus (68' pen.), Witsel (70')

Friedrich (64')
Aug 31, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
3-1
Dortmund
Bulter (22', 50'), Andersson (75')
Alcacer (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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