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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Freiburg logo

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Freiburg

Hollerbach (68'), Haberer (90+2')
Knoche (52'), Trimmel (67'), Juranovic (70'), Gosens (75'), Haberer (85'), Laidouni (90+7'), Volland (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (85')
Makengo (37'), Doan (54'), Kubler (75'), Eggestein (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Freiburg

It is hard to look beyond a win for Freiburg on Saturday, despite Union's dire need for one. The departing Streich has seen his side thrive on the road in recent weeks, an antithesis of their wretched home form, and they should inflict a fourth straight loss on the Iron Ones on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
37.68% (0.98399999999999 0.98) 25.4% (0.18 0.18) 36.92% (-1.159 -1.16)
Both teams to score 56.34% (-0.625 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-0.806 -0.81)47.48% (0.811 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.749 -0.75)69.69% (0.75399999999999 0.75)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (0.16900000000001 0.17)24.73% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (0.234 0.23)59.29% (-0.228 -0.23)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.996 -1)25.14% (1.002 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-1.398 -1.4)59.86% (1.403 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 37.68%
    Freiburg 36.92%
    Draw 25.39%
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.258 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.68%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 36.92%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Freiburg

Union Berlin
38.0%
Draw
19.0%
Freiburg
43.0%
79
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Freiburg
0-0
Union Berlin
Aaronson (50'), Ronnow (90+5')
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Union Berlin
4-2
Freiburg
Behrens (5'), Becker (36', 38'), Laidouni (80')
Khedira (15'), Behrens (33'), Becker (36')
Gulde (56'), Grifo (70' pen.)
Gregoritsch (90+5')
Nov 13, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Freiburg
4-1
Union Berlin
Grifo (4' pen., 6', 20' pen.), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Michel (84' pen.)
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
1-4
Union Berlin
Holer (59')
Sallai (67')
Promel (11'), Trimmel (30'), Becker (41'), Schafer (90')
Oczipka (50'), Luthe (69')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union Berlin
0-0
Freiburg
Becker (77')
Hofler (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen20136149272245
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt20115445271838
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Wolfsburg208574335829
11Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim2046102640-1418
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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