MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:06:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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VfL Bochum
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Freiburg logo

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Freiburg

Hollerbach (68'), Haberer (90+2')
Knoche (52'), Trimmel (67'), Juranovic (70'), Gosens (75'), Haberer (85'), Laidouni (90+7'), Volland (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (85')
Makengo (37'), Doan (54'), Kubler (75'), Eggestein (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Freiburg

It is hard to look beyond a win for Freiburg on Saturday, despite Union's dire need for one. The departing Streich has seen his side thrive on the road in recent weeks, an antithesis of their wretched home form, and they should inflict a fourth straight loss on the Iron Ones on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
37.68% (0.98399999999999 0.98) 25.4% (0.18 0.18) 36.92% (-1.159 -1.16)
Both teams to score 56.34% (-0.625 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-0.806 -0.81)47.48% (0.811 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.749 -0.75)69.69% (0.75399999999999 0.75)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (0.16900000000001 0.17)24.73% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (0.234 0.23)59.29% (-0.228 -0.23)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.996 -1)25.14% (1.002 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-1.398 -1.4)59.86% (1.403 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 37.68%
    Freiburg 36.92%
    Draw 25.39%
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.258 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.68%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 36.92%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Freiburg

Union Berlin
38.0%
Draw
19.0%
Freiburg
43.0%
79
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Freiburg
0-0
Union Berlin
Aaronson (50'), Ronnow (90+5')
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Union Berlin
4-2
Freiburg
Behrens (5'), Becker (36', 38'), Laidouni (80')
Khedira (15'), Behrens (33'), Becker (36')
Gulde (56'), Grifo (70' pen.)
Gregoritsch (90+5')
Nov 13, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Freiburg
4-1
Union Berlin
Grifo (4' pen., 6', 20' pen.), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Michel (84' pen.)
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
1-4
Union Berlin
Holer (59')
Sallai (67')
Promel (11'), Trimmel (30'), Becker (41'), Schafer (90')
Oczipka (50'), Luthe (69')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union Berlin
0-0
Freiburg
Becker (77')
Hofler (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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