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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Mainz logo

Frankfurt
1 - 0
Mainz 05

Lindstrom (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caricol (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Mainz 05

This clash is very difficult to call considering the similar level in quality that both sides have produced so far this season. However, based on recent form, as well as the struggles that Mainz have had on their travels compared to their home form, we are predicting a narrow home victory for Frankfurt in what is sure to be an intriguing encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
51.69%22.97%25.33%
Both teams to score 58.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35%41.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95%64.05%
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8%16.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32%45.68%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16%29.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08%65.92%
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 51.69%
    Mainz 05 25.33%
    Draw 22.97%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-0 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 51.69%
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt
70.7%
Draw
19.0%
Mainz 05
10.3%
58
Head to Head
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Frankfurt
1-1
Mainz
Hrustic (86')
Kostic (30'), Hrustic (49')
Onisiwo (11')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
0-2
Frankfurt

Niakhate (22'), Quaison (43')
Silva (24' pen., 72')
Hasebe (59')
Jun 6, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Frankfurt
0-2
Mainz

Rode (62'), Chandler (64'), Hinteregger (81')
Niakhate (43'), Kunde (77')
Latza (41'), Awoniyi (47'), Barreiro (62')
Dec 2, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
2-1
Frankfurt
Onisiwo (50'), Szalai (69')
Latza (55')
Hinteregger (34')
Hinteregger (14'), Torro (89')
Kohr (44')
May 12, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 33
Frankfurt
0-2
Mainz

Kostic (77')
Ujah (53', 57')
Niakhate (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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