MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:38:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
VfL Bochum

Freiburg
2 - 1
VfL Bochum

Doan (26'), Grifo (45+2' pen.)
Gulde (23'), Grifo (29'), Eggestein (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Paciencia (15')
Antwi-Adjej (31'), Schlotterbeck (52'), Gamboa (63'), Riemann (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-0 VfL Bochum

 These two sides have only scored 12 goals combined across their seven league games apiece so far this season, so it is difficult to envisage either goalkeeper enduring particularly busy afternoons. Bochum showed they are capable of resisting pressure when claiming an unlikely point away to Leipzig in their last match, but we expect Freiburg to edge a narrow encounter and return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
58.54% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 21.75% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 19.71% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.35% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.33% (-0.218 -0.22)42.67% (0.221 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)65.07% (0.22099999999999 0.22)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)14.27% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)42.05% (0.163 0.16)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56% (-0.139 -0.14)35.44% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (-0.145 -0.15)72.2% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 58.54%
    VfL Bochum 19.71%
    Draw 21.74%
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 58.54%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 19.71%

How you voted: Freiburg vs VfL Bochum

Freiburg
76.9%
Draw
23.1%
VfL Bochum
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
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VfL Bochum
0-2
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (39'), Holer (51')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
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VfL Bochum
Grifo (48')
Sallai (77'), Hofler (83')

Stafylidis (42'), Riemann (48'), Reis (78')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Freiburg
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VfL Bochum
Kubler (5'), Sallai (16', 53')

Stafylidis (68'), Reis (70')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
VfL Bochum
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Freiburg
Polter (64')
Polter (117')
Petersen (51'), Sallai (120')
Kubler (117')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
VfL Bochum
2-1
Freiburg
Polter (54'), Pantovic (82')
Losilla (32'), Antwi-Adjej (90+1')
Lienhart (51')
Kubler (58')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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