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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
39.93% ( 1.38) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 34.3% ( -1.39) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.62% ( -0.27) | 49.38% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.58% ( -0.24) | 71.42% ( 0.24) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% ( 0.61) | 24.39% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.19% ( 0.85) | 58.81% ( -0.85) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% ( -0.96) | 27.57% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.91% ( -1.25) | 63.09% ( 1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.93% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
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