Neither team has started the season as well as they would have hoped so far, particularly the visitors, whose decline across the last couple of years appears set to reach new lows if they are not careful.
Bochum are generally very difficult to beat on their home turf under Letsch, and we can envisage the two sides' winless runs both continuing for another weekend at least, with a draw the most likely outcome between two relatively evenly-matched sides.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.12%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
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