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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
ebm-papst-Stadion
Heidenheim

Villingen
0 - 4
Heidenheim


Alberico Liserra (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Breunig (43', 48', 53'), Wanner (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Villingen and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villingen

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Villingen 4-2 Reutlingen
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-1 Espanyol
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Villingen 0-3 Heidenheim

 Heidenheim are entering this competition after arguably the best season in their history and a very impressive pre-season. We expect the visitors to wrap this one up fairly comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 85.97%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Villingen had a probability of 4.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 0-4 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Villingen win it was 2-1 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
VillingenDrawHeidenheim
4.44% (0.736 0.74) 9.58% (0.828 0.83) 85.97% (-1.569 -1.57)
Both teams to score 44.99% (2.874 2.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.05% (-0.146 -0.15)26.94% (0.142 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.58% (-0.186 -0.19)47.42% (0.183 0.18)
Villingen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.98% (3.126 3.13)53.02% (-3.132 -3.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.34% (1.896 1.9)86.66% (-1.899 -1.9)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.76% (-0.27600000000001 -0.28)4.23% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.37% (-0.873 -0.87)17.62% (0.869 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Villingen 4.44%
    Heidenheim 85.96%
    Draw 9.58%
VillingenDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 1.43% (0.233 0.23)
1-0 @ 1.42% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 4.44%
1-1 @ 4.5% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 2.26% (0.328 0.33)
0-0 @ 2.25% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 9.58%
0-3 @ 11.82% (-0.65 -0.65)
0-2 @ 11.22% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-4 @ 9.35% (-0.71 -0.71)
1-3 @ 7.51% (0.304 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.43 0.43)
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 5.93% (0.121 0.12)
0-5 @ 5.91% (-0.588 -0.59)
1-5 @ 3.75%
0-6 @ 3.12% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.303 0.3)
1-6 @ 1.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.88% (0.205 0.21)
0-7 @ 1.41% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-5 @ 1.19% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 85.96%

How you voted: Villingen vs Heidenheim

Villingen
0.0%
Draw
16.7%
Heidenheim
83.3%
6
rhs 2.0
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