Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Heidenheim4 - 1FC Koln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Heidenheim 2-1 FC Koln
Heidenheim have something to fight for, which is bad news for Koln, and we are finding it difficult to look past a home win here. Koln have drawn eight of their 16 away league games this season, but they could come up short on Saturday afternoon to have their relegation confirmed. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
41.18% ( -1.88) | 23.49% ( 0.43) | 35.33% ( 1.44) |
| Both teams to score 63.14% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.42% ( -1.77) | 38.58% ( 1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.12% ( -1.9) | 60.87% ( 1.89) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( -1.52) | 19.12% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.24% ( -2.58) | 50.76% ( 2.57) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( -0.06) | 21.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.8% ( -0.09) | 55.19% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Heidenheim 41.18%
FC Koln 35.33%
Draw 23.48%
| Heidenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.4% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.33% |
How you voted: Heidenheim vs FC Koln
Heidenheim
56.4%Draw
23.6%FC Koln
20.0%55
Head to Head
Form Guide
