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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Bayern logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Bayern

Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayern Munich

Hoffenheim are likely to cause this shaky Bayern defence some problems on Saturday, especially given their excellent recent form, but with several defensive absentees, they could struggle to contain this deadly opposition strikeforce. If Lewandowski and co can replicate their exceptional standards of midweek, then there's no reason why Bayern will not stroll to another comfortable victory despite the calibre of their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.65%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
20.25%19.1%60.65%
Both teams to score 66.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.88%29.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.88%50.12%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05%26.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72%62.28%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51%9.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.16%31.83%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 20.25%
    Bayern Munich 60.65%
    Draw 19.1%
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.18%
1-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-1 @ 2.26%
2-0 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 20.25%
1-1 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 2.56%
3-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 9.3%
1-3 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 7.09%
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 4.79%
1-4 @ 4.3%
0-4 @ 3.28%
2-4 @ 2.82%
1-5 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 1.54%
2-5 @ 1.33%
3-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 60.65%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Bayern

Hoffenheim
10.1%
Draw
10.1%
Bayern Munich
79.7%
79
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-1
Hoffenheim
Boateng (32'), Muller (43'), Lewandowski (57'), Gnabry (63')
Roca (53')
Kramaric (44')
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-1
Bayern
Bicakcic (16'), Dabour (24'), Kramaric (77', 90+2' pen.)
Geiger (21'), Baumgartner (28'), Kramaric (45+1')
Kimmich (36')
Neuer (90+1'), Boateng (90+1')
Feb 29, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-6
Bayern
Gnabry (2'), Kimmich (7'), Zirkzee (15'), Coutinho (33', 47'), Goretzka (62')
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
Bayern
4-3
Hoffenheim
Hubner (13' og.), Muller (20'), Lewandowski (36', 80')
Tolisso (40'), Pavard (55'), Alaba (84')
Boateng (8' og.), Dabour (82', 90')
Nordtveit (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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