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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Hoffenheim
4 - 2
Union Berlin

Bebou (22'), Kramaric (36' pen., 90'), Dabour (90+9')
Promel (81'), Kramaric (90+1'), Dabour (90+8'), Stiller (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Doekhi (45+4'), Laidouni (90+5')
Leite (35'), Haberer (39'), Baumgartl (79'), Roussillon (86'), Becker (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 4-2 Freiburg
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Union Berlin

 This is a hugely important match for both teams at either end of the table, with a victory potentially enough for either side to achieve their respective ambitions. However, avoiding defeat would not be the end of the world as it would ensure that their destiny remains in their own hands heading into the final match of the season, or potentially even better than that depending on results elsewhere. As such, we can envisage a share of the spoils after an entertaining affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
45.85% (-0.41 -0.41) 25.37% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 28.78% (0.34 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.74% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (-0.113 -0.11)49.66% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (-0.102 -0.1)71.67% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.232 -0.23)21.66% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-0.356 -0.36)54.79% (0.357 0.36)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.193 0.19)31.41% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.223 0.22)67.78% (-0.221 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 45.85%
    Union Berlin 28.78%
    Draw 25.36%
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.78%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin

Hoffenheim
39.3%
Draw
16.1%
Union Berlin
44.6%
56
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Union Berlin
3-1
Hoffenheim
Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Giesselmann (45+2'), Seguin (90+2')
Bebou (43')
Kabak (45+4')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 19
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')
Aug 22, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 2
Hoffenheim
2-2
Union Berlin
Akpoguma (14'), Bruun Larsen (30')
Samassekou (80')
Giesselmann (10'), Awoniyi (47')
Khedira (45'), Friedrich (82')
Friedrich (90+4')
Feb 28, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 23
Union Berlin
1-1
Hoffenheim
Kruse (9' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (29' og.)
Richards (79'), Vogt (90+4')
Nov 2, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Union Berlin
Dabour (80')
Baumgartner (90')
Skov (58')
Kruse (60' pen.), Pohjanpalo (85'), Teuchert (90+4')
Luthe (63'), Griesbeck (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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