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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
41.27% | 24.44% | 34.29% |
Both teams to score 59.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.63% | 43.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.23% | 65.76% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% | 21.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.06% | 53.94% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% | 24.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.74% | 59.25% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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