Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
We said: Union Berlin 2-0 VfL Bochum
Union Berlin will be determined not to allow a couple of defeats to two of the Bundesliga's strongest teams potentially ruin their strong work throughout the season, and we expect a highly motivated performance from the hosts as a result.
Bochum have struggled to attain positive results on the road all season long and we do not expect Sunday's trip to the capital to be any different, with Letsch's side likely to be looking even more nervously over their shoulders given that Hertha Berlin and Schalke 04 face each other on Friday evening and will therefore close the gap one way or another.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 68.48% . A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 12.23% .
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.57%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%) , while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (4.39%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood .
Result Union Berlin Draw VfL Bochum 68.48% ( 0.24) 19.29% ( -0.04) 12.23% ( -0.2)
Both teams to score 46.14% ( -0.49)
53.9% ( -0.33) 46.1% ( 0.33)
31.6% ( -0.31) 68.4% ( 0.31)
87.6% ( -0.03) 12.4% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 61.72% ( -0.06) 38.28% ( 0.06)
52.66% ( -0.54) 47.33% ( 0.54)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 17.26% ( -0.41) 82.74% ( 0.41)
Union Berlin 68.47%
VfL Bochum 12.23%
Draw 19.29%
Union Berlin Draw VfL Bochum 2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 68.47% 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.69% Total : 19.29% 0-1 @ 4.39% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 12.23%
How you voted: Union Berlin vs VfL Bochum
Union Berlin
Draw
VfL Bochum
57
rhs 2.0
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