We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 VfL Bochum
Although Hoffenheim will be desperate to return to winning ways, they will go up against a Bochum side that has proven to be a tough team to beat in recent weeks.
We think that Bochum will do enough to frustrate their hosts and take a point from Friday's fixture, especially after drawing three of their last five matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.