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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Stach (56'), Weghorst (58')
Weghorst (45+3'), Kabak (48'), Promel (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wirtz (9'), Grimaldo (45+1', 70')
Hradecky (72'), Tah (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 2-5 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

 Hoffenheim's chances of winning will significantly increase should Kramaric return to start as expected, but they have actually performed better on the road this season, with 15 of their 18 points coming on their travels. Likewise, Leverkusen have gained 10 points from four away games, and they will be confident of making it six wins in a row in the Bundesliga as they attempt to extend their lead at the summit. We expect them to do so in what should be an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
19.86% (-4.467 -4.47) 20.16% (-2.061 -2.06) 59.98% (6.53 6.53)
Both teams to score 61.31% (0.971 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.03% (4.145 4.15)34.97% (-4.142 -4.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.04% (4.485 4.49)56.96% (-4.482 -4.48)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-1.531 -1.53)30.79% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-1.847 -1.85)67.07% (1.85 1.85)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (3.293 3.29)11.4% (-3.29 -3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (6.708 6.71)36.17% (-6.705 -6.71)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 19.86%
    Bayer Leverkusen 59.98%
    Draw 20.16%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.937 -0.94)
1-0 @ 4.14% (-1.146 -1.15)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.81 -0.81)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-0 @ 0.96% (-0.374 -0.37)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 19.86%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-1.149 -1.15)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.787 -0.79)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.28% (0.372 0.37)
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.62 -0.62)
1-3 @ 7.06% (0.845 0.85)
0-3 @ 5.99% (0.937 0.94)
2-3 @ 4.16% (0.338 0.34)
1-4 @ 3.83% (0.852 0.85)
0-4 @ 3.25% (0.829 0.83)
2-4 @ 2.26% (0.425 0.43)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.521 0.52)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.482 0.48)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.277 0.28)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 59.98%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
6.3%
Draw
6.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
87.5%
64
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Nsoki (77')
Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
B. Leverkusen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
> Preview
Apr 12, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Hoffenheim
0-0
B. Leverkusen
Baumgartner (89')
Wendell (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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