MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:41:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Fuhrich (61'), Undav (73')
Rouault (21'), Fuhrich (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Promel (4'), Weghorst (21' pen.), Skov (66')
Akpoguma (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim

Both teams' firepower will almost certainly be blunted by missing their star strikers through injury, with Stuttgart likely to feel the absence of Guirassy in particular given his superb start to the season. Their winning run surely has to come to an end sooner rather than later, and we believe that Hoffenheim have enough about them to avoid defeat on Saturday, with both managers set to be desperate to get one over on their former clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
47.7% (-0.201 -0.2) 22.22% (-0.02 -0.02) 30.08% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 65.63% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (0.22199999999999 0.22)34.4% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.251 0.25)56.31% (-0.255 -0.25)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)14.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)43.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.238 0.24)22.85% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.353 0.35)56.58% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.7%
    Hoffenheim 30.08%
    Draw 22.22%
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim

Stuttgart
74.5%
Draw
23.5%
Hoffenheim
2.0%
51
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Tomas (80')
Bebou (75')
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
2-2
Stuttgart
Kramaric (11', 90+4')
Guirassy (45+5'), Endo (77')
Feb 25, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
2-1
Stuttgart
Baumgartner (85', 90')
Geiger (16'), Baumgartner (33'), Hubner (45+4')
Endo (58')
Anton (81'), Forster (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Stuttgart
3-1
Hoffenheim
Kempf (18'), Mavropanos (60'), Massimo (81')
Mar 14, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 25
Stuttgart
2-0
Hoffenheim
Adams (15' og.), Kalajdzic (64')

Sessegnon (11'), Grillitsch (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!