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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Wolfsburg |
46.56% ( -0.42) | 23.21% ( -0.04) | 30.23% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 62.07% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.88% ( 0.48) | 39.12% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.55% ( 0.5) | 61.45% ( -0.5) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( 0.03) | 17.14% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.63% ( 0.04) | 47.37% ( -0.03) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.9% ( 0.54) | 25.1% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.21% ( 0.73) | 59.79% ( -0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.11% Total : 46.56% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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