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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.28%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
59.28% ( 0.56) | 20.16% ( -0.21) | 20.56% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 62.54% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.1% ( 0.5) | 33.9% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.24% ( 0.57) | 55.75% ( -0.57) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.73% ( 0.31) | 11.27% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.14% ( 0.67) | 35.86% ( -0.66) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% ( -0.02) | 29.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% ( -0.03) | 65.53% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 59.28% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.16% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 20.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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