MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 06:00:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 8, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
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Wolfsburg
4 - 3
Mainz

El Amine Amoura (19'), Tomas (57'), Wind (84', 90+4')
Baku (21'), Arnold (22'), Tomas (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Nebel (11', 66'), Burkardt (39')
Henriksen (27'), Amiri (43'), Jae-sung (45+2'), Kohr (56'), Leitsch (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, December 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, December 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Mainz 05

 Both sides are in excellent form, and it would not be surprising if each team created several opportunities in front of goal. However, Mainz's away record is excellent, and they have considerably fewer injuries to contend with, so they should come into the clash as slight favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
41.05% (-0.124 -0.12) 25.1% (-0.02 -0.02) 33.85% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 56.94% (0.118 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48% (0.137 0.14)46.52% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (0.13 0.13)68.8% (-0.127 -0.13)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84%56.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (0.15400000000001 0.15)26.47% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35% (0.203 0.2)61.65% (-0.201 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 41.05%
    Mainz 05 33.85%
    Draw 25.1%
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 33.85%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Mainz

Wolfsburg
44.2%
Draw
24.7%
Mainz 05
31.2%
77
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
1-3
Mainz
Paredes (18')
Wimmer (52'), Majer (71')
Gruda (24'), Van den Berg (72'), Burkardt (85')
Jae-sung (12'), Hanche-Olsen (54'), Kohr (89')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
1-1
Wolfsburg
Widmer (61')
Widmer (3'), van den Berg (46'), Fernandes (56')
Cerny (12')
Vranckx (16'), Jenz (27'), Casteels (54'), Svanberg (79')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
3-0
Mainz
Wind (5', 28'), Bornauw (13')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-3
Wolfsburg
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
5-0
Mainz
Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
11Wolfsburg198474234828
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710
> Bundesliga Full Table


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