MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:25:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Wolfsburg

Freiburg
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Kubler (42', 51'), Gregoritsch (61')
Kubler (22'), Gregoritsch (31'), Rosenfelder (76'), Eggestein (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wind (75'), Svanberg (83')
Vavro (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-3 Mainz
Sunday, December 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-3 Wolfsburg

 Despite their injuries, Wolfsburg are in excellent form and have been rampant in front of goal, and it would not be surprising if they scored more than once on Friday. Additionally, given Freiburg's poor record in the final third, it is difficult to see how they can get back into the game should they concede first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
46.15% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 23.71% (0.004999999999999 0) 30.13% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 60.17% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)41.58% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)63.99% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68%49.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)26.38% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)61.53% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 46.15%
    Wolfsburg 30.14%
    Draw 23.71%
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.14%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

Freiburg
18.5%
Draw
16.7%
Wolfsburg
64.8%
162
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Freiburg
1-2
Wolfsburg
Bornauw (41' og.)
Gregoritsch (55'), Sallai (67'), Hofler (73'), Holer (90+2')
Sildillia (64')
Arnold (82'), Lacroix (90')
Arnold (62'), Bornauw (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
0-1
Freiburg

Arnold (85')
Gregoritsch (74')
Hofler (57'), Sallai (77'), Rohl (85'), Holer (86')
> Preview
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
2-0
Wolfsburg
Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
Sallai (31')
Hofler (90+2')

Wind (39'), Wimmer (54'), Gerhardt (67')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
6-0
Freiburg
Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
3-2
Wolfsburg
Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')
Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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