MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 03:28:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 22, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Dortmund logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Dortmund

Vavro (58')
Koulierakis (50'), Gerhardt (55'), Vavro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Malen (25'), Beier (28'), Brandt (30')
Malen (63'), Malen (70'), Couto (90+4')
Gross (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Friday, December 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, December 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

Wolfsburg should be confident of troubling Dortmund on Sunday given the visitors' poor record away from home. Additionally, the hosts' loss last time out does not detract from their strong showings in recent weeks, and they should be considered favourites to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
32.34% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17) 23.56% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 44.09% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.89% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17% (0.242 0.24)39.82% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82% (0.25 0.25)62.18% (-0.25 -0.25)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.02000000000001 0.02)24.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (0.027000000000001 0.03)58.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (0.191 0.19)18.4% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (0.326 0.33)49.54% (-0.326 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 32.34%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.09%
    Draw 23.55%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.31% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.49% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.34%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.16% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 44.09%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Dortmund

Wolfsburg
51.2%
Draw
18.9%
Borussia Dortmund
29.9%
127
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
Wolfsburg
1-0
Dortmund
Wind (116')
Arnold (62'), Ozcan (114')

Nmecha (56'), Bynoe-Gittens (85'), Schlotterbeck (115'), Bensebaini (120')
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Wolfsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Gerhardt (63')
Gerhardt (71'), Arnold (90+7'), Jenz (90+8')
Fullkrug (8')
Moukoko (90+8')
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Wolfsburg
Reus (68')

Cerny (24')
May 7, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 31
Dortmund
6-0
Wolfsburg
Adeyemi (14', 59'), Haller (28'), Malen (37'), Bellingham (54', 86')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
2-0
Dortmund
Van de Ven (6'), Nmecha (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239


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