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Leverkusen logo
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
BayArena
Stuttgart

B. Leverkusen
3 - 2
Stuttgart

Andrich (50'), Adli (66'), Tah (90')
Andrich (18'), Frimpong (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anton (11'), Fuhrich (58')
Mittelstadt (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Stuttgart

Having set the longest unbeaten run in the club's history on Saturday, Bayer should secure a record-extending win over Stuttgart regardless of Tuesday's personnel tweaks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.94%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
56.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 20.44% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.62% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 64.69% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.52% (0.033999999999992 0.03)32.48% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.88% (0.037999999999997 0.04)54.12% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)11.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.74% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.043000000000006 0.04)26.95% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (0.056000000000004 0.06)62.29% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.94%
    Stuttgart 22.62%
    Draw 20.44%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 3.72%
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 56.94%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.44%
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 22.62%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Stuttgart

Bayer Leverkusen
87.8%
Stuttgart
12.2%
172
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Stuttgart
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Fuhrich (40')
Karazor (65')
Wirtz (47')
Odilon (6')
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Guirassy (57' pen.)
Palacios (70' pen.)
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Stuttgart
Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
B. Leverkusen
4-2
Stuttgart
Diaby (41'), Adli (52'), Wirtz (86'), Schick (90')
Demirbay (45'), Andrich (63'), Bakker (83')
Tomas (49', 88')
Endo (51'), Mavropanos (90+4')
Sep 19, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Stuttgart
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Mangala (38')
Karazor (63'), Coulibaly (76')
Andrich (2'), Schick (19'), Wirtz (70')
Frimpong (36'), Bakker (37'), Aranguiz (58')
Andrich (32')
rhs 2.0
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