Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Hoffenheim0 - 2Bayern
FT(HT: 0-2)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hoffenheim 5-1 Schalke
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Augsburg 2-5 Bayern
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayern Munich
Hoffenheim have the quality and momentum to provide Bayern with a stern test on Saturday, but we expect the visitors to be too strong in the end. Nagelsmann's side look to have shaken off their poor run of results during September, and they will be highly focused on overturning their deficit at the top of the table ahead of next month's World Cup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13% ( 0.08) | 15.49% ( 0.02) | 71.51% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 63.44% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.58% ( 0.13) | 25.42% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.53% ( 0.17) | 45.47% ( -0.17) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% ( 0.2) | 32.28% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.22% ( 0.23) | 68.78% ( -0.23) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.68% ( 0.02) | 6.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 76.24% ( 0.04) | 23.76% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim 13%
Bayern Munich 71.51%
Draw 15.49%
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 13% | 1-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.49% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 8.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 7.16% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 5.59% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 3.09% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.42% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.35% Total : 71.51% |
How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Bayern
Hoffenheim
12.7%Draw
8.2%Bayern Munich
79.1%134
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-1
Bayern
Form Guide
