Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz5 - 0FC Koln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lubeck 0-3 Mainz
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Augsburg
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 1-1 FC Koln
There is very little to split these two sides - who have both hugely improved in the last 18 months or so - and as such we can envisage a share of the spoils on Friday. Although the incentive of moving up to a top-four position may spur both teams on to go for the win, neither are likely to be too disappointed with avoiding defeat in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
36.34% ( 0.06) | 25.42% ( 0.01) | 38.24% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( -0.05) | 47.62% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( -0.05) | 69.82% ( 0.05) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( 0.01) | 25.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.61% ( 0.02) | 60.39% ( -0.01) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0.06) | 24.49% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.05% ( -0.09) | 58.95% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 36.34%
FC Koln 38.24%
Draw 25.42%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.24% |
How you voted: Mainz vs FC Koln
Mainz 05
51.2%Draw
25.0%FC Koln
23.8%164
