We said: FC Koln 1-2 Werder Bremen
With Koln still missing several important players through injury, we can envisage the visitors picking up an important away win this weekend.
Fullkrug and Ducksch can cause any opponents issues in transition on their day, with the former likely to be full of confidence after scoring against Spain at the World Cup.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 56.05%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.