MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:10:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Koln logo

Freiburg
2 - 0
FC Koln

Woo-yeong (53'), Gregoritsch (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Schindler (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Freiburg
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

FC Koln

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 2-2 Nice
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Freiburg 2-1 FC Koln

 Freiburg should be significantly fresher than their opponents having rested almost their entire strongest XI in midweek, and we expect them to remain third in the table at worst by claiming a crucial victory. This will be Koln's fourth match in 10 days and fatigue is likely to catch up with them sooner rather than later, especially after the disappointment of failing to beat Nice and advance to the knockout stages of the Europa Conference League on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawFC Koln
50.98% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 23.6% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 25.42% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.76% (-0.386 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-0.482 -0.48)44.39% (0.483 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-0.47 -0.47)66.77% (0.471 0.47)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (-0.193 -0.19)17.47% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (-0.33900000000001 -0.34)47.95% (0.339 0.34)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-0.306 -0.31)31.22% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-0.357 -0.36)67.57% (0.358 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 50.98%
    FC Koln 25.42%
    Draw 23.59%
FreiburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 50.98%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.59%
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 25.42%

How you voted: Freiburg vs FC Koln

Freiburg
87.1%
Draw
9.4%
FC Koln
3.5%
85
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
FC Koln
1-0
Freiburg
Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
FC Koln
Czichos (89' og.)
Schade (74')
Modeste (34')
Kainz (51'), Modeste (69')
Kainz (74')
May 9, 2021 12.30pm
FC Koln
1-4
Freiburg
Andersson (50')
Horn (37'), Andersson (47')
Petersen (18'), Demirovic (20'), Grifo (90+3'), Schmid (90+6')
Demirovic (41'), Lienhart (81')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
5-0
FC Koln
Demirovic (18'), Hofler (39'), Sallai (59'), Lienhart (69'), Holer (79')
Feb 2, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
4-0
Freiburg
Bornauw (29'), Cordoba (55'), Jakobs (90'), Ehizibue (90')
Jakobs (12'), Cordoba (20'), Uth (50')

Hofler (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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