Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz3 - 1Augsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Friday, February 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, February 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Augsburg
While Mainz have struggled on home soil this season, Augsburg have found life difficult on the road of late, meaning that Saturday's clash is likely to be a relatively cagey affair. Given that Mainz and Augsburg find themselves just a handful of points outside the drop zone, both sides will be happy to settle for a draw, preventing a relegation rival from winning in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
49.96% ( -0) | 24.08% ( 0) | 25.95% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
