Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 25, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz1 - 2Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-3 Augsburg
Sunday, January 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, January 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Considering Mainz's home form and Dortmund's recent efforts on the road, a closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. However, BVB will be regarded as favourites and they should have enough quality in their side to edge past the 05ers and claim their 10th Bundesliga victory of the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
24.08% ( -0.13) | 21.69% ( -0.06) | 54.24% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.98% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
