MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 00:24:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
VfL Bochum

Mainz
5 - 2
VfL Bochum

Jae-sung (1'), Widmer (17'), Onisiwo (28', 57', 87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kunde (70'), Masovic (72')
Schlotterbeck (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 VfL Bochum

With both teams defeated in midweek, we can envisage each manager aiming to keep things tight at the MEWA Arena on Saturday, especially given their lowly positions in the league table. As such, it would be little surprise to see Mainz draw 1-1 for the fifth time already this season, which would represent a decent result for both teams in their current situations. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
52.51% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14) 24.11% (0.029 0.03) 23.37% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)70.63% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)18.43% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)49.6% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.101 0.1)35.2% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.04% (0.106 0.11)71.95% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 52.51%
    VfL Bochum 23.37%
    Draw 24.1%
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.51%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 23.37%

How you voted: Mainz vs VfL Bochum

Mainz 05
56.4%
Draw
30.8%
VfL Bochum
12.8%
39
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
1-2
Mainz
Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
VfL Bochum
3-1
Mainz
Pantovic (56' pen., 59'), Lowen (80')
Onisiwo (36')
Jae-sung (14'), Barreiro (55'), Bell (65'), Stach (75')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Mainz
1-0
VfL Bochum
St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
2-0
Mainz
Holtmann (21'), Polter (56')
Rexhbecaj (54'), Riemann (87'), Asano (90+3'), Zoller (90+4')

Boetius (56'), Barreiro (67'), Kohr (89')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Mainz
2-2
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum win 3-0 on penalties
Boetius (7'), Latza (55')
Mateta (90+4'), Ji (100')
Holtmann (66'), Tesche (90+4')
Gamboa (2'), Leitsch (32'), Blum (75')
Riemann (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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