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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | VfL Bochum |
52.51% ( -0.14) | 24.11% ( 0.03) | 23.37% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.85% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.49% ( -0.01) | 48.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.37% ( -0.01) | 70.63% ( 0.01) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( -0.06) | 18.43% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.4% ( -0.1) | 49.6% ( 0.1) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% ( 0.1) | 35.2% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.04% ( 0.11) | 71.95% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | VfL Bochum |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.51% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
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