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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
4 - 0
Mainz

Ducksch (3' pen.), Stage (53'), Bittencourt (82'), Njinmah (83')
Stage (10'), Friedl (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hanche-Olsen (2'), van den Berg (65'), van den Berg (65+65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Mainz 05

Neither side are likely to be particularly confident after failing to win either of their opening two matches apiece, and there could be an element of cancelling each other out given that both managers adopt similar formations. However, there is enough quality in both teams' offensive units to produce an entertaining enough encounter, and we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides who should have enough about them to avoid being automatically relegated. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
33.21% (-0.128 -0.13) 23.84% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 42.94% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.2% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (-0.175 -0.18)40.86% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (-0.178 -0.18)63.25% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.158 -0.16)24.15% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.226 -0.23)58.46% (0.221 0.22)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)19.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)51.06% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 33.21%
    Mainz 05 42.94%
    Draw 23.84%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz

Werder Bremen
39.3%
Draw
33.9%
Mainz 05
26.8%
56
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
2-2
Werder Bremen
Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Werder Bremen
0-1
Mainz

Sargent (63')
Szalai (16')
Boetius (66'), Zentner (83')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-1
Werder Bremen

Barreiro (73'), Niakhate (82')
Dinkci (90')
Eggestein (50'), Gross (90+5')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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