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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
 
Bayern logo

Stuttgart
1 - 2
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 2-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 0-3 Bayern Munich

Bayern may have one eye on their second leg against PSG on Tuesday, but they should still have far too much quality for struggling Stuttgart in the Bundesliga's Saturday night slot. The Bavarians are being pushed hard by Dortmund at the top of the table, and they will be determined to keep ahead of their title rivals before facing them after the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-3 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayern Munich
18.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 18.8% (-0.127 -0.13) 62.74% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 63.83% (0.399 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.39% (0.547 0.55)30.61% (-0.547 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.07% (0.649 0.65)51.92% (-0.648 -0.65)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (0.288 0.29)29.52% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (0.352 0.35)65.54% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56% (0.19799999999999 0.2)9.43% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.3% (0.465 0.47)31.7% (-0.463 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 18.45%
    Bayern Munich 62.74%
    Draw 18.8%
StuttgartDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 3.4% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 18.45%
1-1 @ 8.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.78% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.8%
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 7.45% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 6.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.55% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 4.4% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.61% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.68% (0.056 0.06)
1-5 @ 2.08% (0.044 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.7% (0.024 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.27% (0.037 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.09% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 62.74%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Bayern

Stuttgart
10.0%
Draw
3.8%
Bayern Munich
86.3%
80
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Bayern
2-2
Stuttgart
Tel (36'), Musiala (60')
Fuhrich (57'), Guirassy (90+2' pen.)
Sosa (4')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Bayern
2-2
Stuttgart
Gnabry (35'), Muller (44')
Kouassi (6'), Davies (90+1')
Coman (90+5')
Tomas (8'), Kalajdzic (52')
Karazor (39'), Fuhrich (50'), Coulibaly (74')
Dec 14, 2021 5.30pm
Stuttgart
0-5
Bayern

Karazor (64')
Gnabry (40', 53', 74'), Lewandowski (69', 72')
Davies (55')
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Stuttgart
Lewandowski (18', 23', 39'), Gnabry (22')
Boateng (37')
Davies (12')

Castro (61'), Kempf (86')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1683436231327
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg168352426-227
6Mainz 05Mainz1674430201025
7Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
8Werder Bremen157442625125
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg166363328521
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164561421-717
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli164291220-814
15Hoffenheim163572029-914
16Heidenheim1631112033-1310
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613111337-246


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