Bayern4 - 2Dortmund
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 66.32% | 17.22% | 16.46% |
| Both teams to score 65.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.37% | 46.62% |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.5% | 7.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.07% | 26.93% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% | 28.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.37% | 64.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-0 @ 6.25% 1-0 @ 5.59% 4-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 4.85% 4-0 @ 4.05% 4-2 @ 3.14% 5-1 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.1% 5-2 @ 1.63% 4-3 @ 1.3% 6-1 @ 1.13% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.68% Total : 66.32% | 1-1 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 2.16% 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.46% Total : 17.22% | 1-2 @ 4.34% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.63% Total : 16.46% |
