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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.01% ( 0.04) | 22.52% ( -0) | 42.47% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 66.8% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.22% ( 0.02) | 33.78% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.38% ( 0.02) | 55.62% ( -0.02) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.11% ( 0.03) | 19.89% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.99% ( 0.05) | 52.01% ( -0.04) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.39% ( -0.01) | 16.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.57% ( -0.02) | 46.44% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.54% Total : 42.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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