Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin1 - 0Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, October 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Braga
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Union Berlin 1-0 Braga
We expect a very cagey affair at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei, with both teams knowing the significance of this fixture in terms of progressing to the knockout stages. Whichever team scores first will feel confident of getting the result that they need, and we are backing Union Berlin to do so and hold on for a vital victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Braga had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Braga |
46.53% ( 0.07) | 25.18% ( 0.01) | 28.28% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.82% ( -0.09) | 49.17% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.76% ( -0.08) | 71.24% ( 0.08) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.85% ( -0.01) | 21.15% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.99% ( -0.01) | 54.01% ( 0.01) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.47% ( -0.11) | 31.53% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.08% ( -0.13) | 67.92% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin 46.53%
Braga 28.28%
Draw 25.18%
Union Berlin | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.53% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.28% |
How you voted: Union Berlin vs Braga
Union Berlin
73.7%Draw
14.7%Braga
11.6%190
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-22 04:09:40
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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