MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:51:31| >> :120:14515:14515:
Union Berlin logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Braga

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Braga

Knoche (68' pen.)
Thorsby (33'), Ryerson (72'), Ronnow (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (39'), Castro (47'), Ruiz (45+2'), Horta (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union Berlin and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Braga
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Union Berlin 1-0 Braga

We expect a very cagey affair at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei, with both teams knowing the significance of this fixture in terms of progressing to the knockout stages. Whichever team scores first will feel confident of getting the result that they need, and we are backing Union Berlin to do so and hold on for a vital victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Braga had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBraga
46.53% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 25.18% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 28.28% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)49.17% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)71.24% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)21.15% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)54.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.111 -0.11)31.53% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.08% (-0.126 -0.13)67.92% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 46.53%
    Braga 28.28%
    Draw 25.18%
Union BerlinDrawBraga
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.53%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.28%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Braga

Union Berlin
73.7%
Draw
14.7%
Braga
11.6%
190
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!