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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
43.72% ( 0.81) | 24.49% ( 0.1) | 31.78% ( -0.91) |
Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.58% ( -0.8) | 44.42% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.21% ( -0.78) | 66.79% ( 0.79) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.57% ( 0.03) | 20.43% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.12% ( 0.04) | 52.88% ( -0.04) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% ( -0.95) | 26.73% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% ( -1.27) | 61.99% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 29 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
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