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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Maxim Choupo-Moting (31'), Coman (40'), Musiala (45+1')
Pavard (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Thorsby (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 Union Berlin

Given that Bayern Munich have struggled to turn draws into wins this season, we can see a resilient Union Berlin outfit leaving the Allianz Arena with a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 8.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
76.77% (-0.101 -0.1) 14.65% (0.058 0.06) 8.59% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (-0.137 -0.14)35.2% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.79% (-0.152 -0.15)57.21% (0.152 0.15)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)7.54% (0.0511 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.97% (-0.136 -0.14)27.03% (0.134 0.13)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.88%47.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.42%82.58%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 76.76%
    Union Berlin 8.59%
    Draw 14.65%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.87% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.61% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 76.76%
1-1 @ 6.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.025 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 14.65%
0-1 @ 2.67% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.6% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 8.59%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
66.7%
Draw
18.4%
Union Berlin
14.9%
141
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Union Berlin
Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

Baumgartl (39')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-5
Bayern
Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')
Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 12, 2020 5.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')
Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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