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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
VfL Bochum

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
VfL Bochum

Schick (30' pen., 32', 45+1'), Okoh Boniface (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Masovic (39'), Schlotterbeck (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 17 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum

 Leverkusen have been ruthless at home, scoring plenty of goals and putting weaker sides to the sword, and this should be no exception, going into the winter break four points clear. Bochum have not scored a goal here since coming back up, and even if they were to break that duck, they are unlikely to be able to keep Leverkusen's fearsome attack quiet in what could be a long evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 6.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
81.38% (-0.182 -0.18) 11.75% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 6.87% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.441 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.48% (0.181 0.18)26.52% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.11% (0.23099999999999 0.23)46.88% (-0.233 -0.23)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)4.9% (-0.0049000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)19.66% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.32% (0.461 0.46)44.68% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.32% (0.368 0.37)80.68% (-0.372 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 81.38%
    VfL Bochum 6.87%
    Draw 11.75%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
3-0 @ 10.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 8.06% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 6.08% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 4.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.67% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
7-0 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 81.38%
1-1 @ 5.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.19% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 11.75%
1-2 @ 2.14% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 6.87%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum

Bayer Leverkusen
89.6%
Draw
4.2%
VfL Bochum
6.3%
48
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
VfL Bochum
3-0
B. Leverkusen
Forster (19'), Asano (34'), Stoger (86')
Stoger (21'), Forster (28'), Hofmann (72'), Osterhage (84'), Zoller (89')

Tapsoba (63'), Wirtz (67'), Alonso (68'), Bakker (69'), Diaby (71'), Palacios (89')
Adli (8')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-0
VfL Bochum
Tapsoba (8' pen.), Hlozek (53')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
VfL Bochum
0-0
B. Leverkusen
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
B. Leverkusen
1-0
VfL Bochum
Adli (4')
Frimpong (30'), Diaby (49'), Adli (87')

Masovic (63'), Soares (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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