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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
VfL Bochum

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
VfL Bochum

Schick (30' pen., 32', 45+1'), Okoh Boniface (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Masovic (39'), Schlotterbeck (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 17 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum

 Leverkusen have been ruthless at home, scoring plenty of goals and putting weaker sides to the sword, and this should be no exception, going into the winter break four points clear. Bochum have not scored a goal here since coming back up, and even if they were to break that duck, they are unlikely to be able to keep Leverkusen's fearsome attack quiet in what could be a long evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 6.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
81.38% (-0.182 -0.18) 11.75% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 6.87% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.441 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.48% (0.181 0.18)26.52% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.11% (0.23099999999999 0.23)46.88% (-0.233 -0.23)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)4.9% (-0.0049000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)19.66% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.32% (0.461 0.46)44.68% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.32% (0.368 0.37)80.68% (-0.372 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 81.38%
    VfL Bochum 6.87%
    Draw 11.75%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
3-0 @ 10.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 8.06% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 6.08% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 4.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.67% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
7-0 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 81.38%
1-1 @ 5.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.19% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 11.75%
1-2 @ 2.14% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 6.87%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum

Bayer Leverkusen
89.6%
Draw
4.2%
VfL Bochum
6.3%
48
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
VfL Bochum
3-0
B. Leverkusen
Forster (19'), Asano (34'), Stoger (86')
Stoger (21'), Forster (28'), Hofmann (72'), Osterhage (84'), Zoller (89')

Tapsoba (63'), Wirtz (67'), Alonso (68'), Bakker (69'), Diaby (71'), Palacios (89')
Adli (8')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-0
VfL Bochum
Tapsoba (8' pen.), Hlozek (53')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
VfL Bochum
0-0
B. Leverkusen
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
B. Leverkusen
1-0
VfL Bochum
Adli (4')
Frimpong (30'), Diaby (49'), Adli (87')

Masovic (63'), Soares (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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