Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen2 - 2Roma
The Match
Match Report
Bayer Leverkusen magnificently save their unbeaten run and reach the Europa League final with a 4-2 aggregate win over Roma in the semi-finals.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Roma had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Roma |
66.53% ( -0.42) | 18.99% ( 0.13) | 14.47% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 53.64% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.53% ( -0.01) | 39.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.18% ( -0.01) | 61.81% ( 0.01) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.99% ( -0.11) | 11% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.7% ( -0.24) | 35.29% ( 0.24) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.28% ( 0.38) | 39.72% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.6% ( 0.35) | 76.39% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen 66.53%
Roma 14.47%
Draw 18.99%
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Roma |
2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.21% Total : 66.53% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.99% | 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.8% Total : 14.47% |
How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Roma
Bayer Leverkusen
77.1%Draw
13.1%Roma
9.8%275
Head to Head
May 2, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Roma
0-2
B. Leverkusen
May 11, 2023 8pm
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Roma
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-21 13:05:11
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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