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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Werder Bremen logo

Stuttgart
0 - 2
Werder Bremen


Anton (13'), Nartey (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stage (59'), Ducksch (77')
Schmidt (38'), Pieper (65'), Friedl (69'), Bittencourt (75'), Stage (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen

 Both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets this season but are comfortably averaging more than a goal per game at the other end, so we expect both teams to score on Sunday. With the exception of Fullkrug in the visitors' attack, there is little to split the two sides in terms of individual quality, so we can envisage a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawWerder Bremen
53.9% (0.548 0.55) 22.75% (-0.055 -0.05) 23.34% (-0.494 -0.49)
Both teams to score 57.28% (-0.424 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)42.62% (0.27999999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.281 -0.28)65.03% (0.28 0.28)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)15.78% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.09% (0.164 0.16)44.91% (-0.165 -0.16)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-0.575 -0.58)31.99% (0.574 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.661 -0.66)68.45% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 53.9%
    Werder Bremen 23.34%
    Draw 22.75%
StuttgartDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 53.9%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 23.34%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen

Stuttgart
51.6%
Draw
32.3%
Werder Bremen
16.1%
62
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
2-2
Stuttgart
Fullkrug (4'), Burke (90+5')
Friedl (16'), Bittencourt (71'), Stark (83'), Ducksch (89')
Endo (38'), Wamangituka (77')
Kalajdzic (59'), Ito (71')
Apr 4, 2021 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-0
Werder Bremen
Augustinsson (81' og.)
Forster (16')

Mohwald (12'), Eggestein (51')
Dec 6, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-2
Stuttgart
Selke (90+3')
Osako (25'), Chong (40'), Gross (65'), Selke (90+1')
Wamangituka (31' pen., 90+1')
Mavropanos (36'), Mangala (56'), Castro (58'), Wamangituka (90+1')
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-1
Stuttgart
Klaassen (45')
Moisander (83')
Zuber (2')
Kabak (57'), Zieler (82'), Donis (86')
> Match Report
Sep 29, 2018 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-1
Werder Bremen
Donis (19'), Castro (75')
Gomez (34'), Donis (47'), Thommy (78')
Zieler (68' og.)
Veljkovic (10'), Bargfrede (26'), Osako (66')
Veljkovic (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246
> Bundesliga Full Table


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